NCAAF · 2:12 - 2ND

Buffalo at Ball State

Buffalo 6-3 · Ball State 3-6 · ESPN2 · Scheumann Stadium

The storylines

Messiah Burch (Buffalo) is averaging 131 rushing yards over the last 5 games, up from 100.1 on the season
Reality check: Buffalo is 6-3 while being outscored by 2.1 points a game, the scoring of a 4-5 team (No. 98 scoring margin of 138)
Buffalo at Ball State: close game (52% favorite)
Buffalo at Ball State: line moved 1.5 points toward Ball State since it opened
ESPN's predictor and the market disagree on Ball State (34% vs 48%)
Buffalo: 4-game win streak

From the FlowWire desk, strongest first, built from ESPN and market data.

The matchup

Buffalo6-3

LWWWWlast 5 →

3rd in Mid-American Conference · W4

No. 97 offense · No. 80 defense of 138 · -2.1 a game

Ball State3-6

LLWWLlast 5 →

10th in Mid-American Conference · L1

No. 104 offense · No. 132 defense of 138 · -11.9 a game

Every game, live Our track record

Market information, not betting advice. The FlowWire Line blends the sportsbooks (margin removed) and the prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket into one win chance.