NBA · Wednesday, Nov 11, 10:00 PM ET
Thunder at Trail Blazers
Thunder 8-3 · Trail Blazers 7-3 · Moda Center
FlowWire Line
as of 7:07 PM ET (15 min delay)Trail Blazers 57%
The venues range from 56% to 57%.
Trail Blazers are slight favorites at 57%.
- The sportsbooks and prediction markets agree, within 1 point.
- The favorite has flipped since betting opened: it's now Trail Blazers.
See it live, with big-money flow and every signal: FlowWire PRO.
The storylines
- Kalshi traders moved 17 hours before the sportsbooks: Trail Blazers 49% to 57%
- The market moved away from Thunder; meanwhile Ajay Mitchell was listed as out on Wednesday
- Thunder: Ajay Mitchell (2nd-leading scorer, 18.5 points a game) is out
- Blowout rematch: Trail Blazers beat Thunder 123-103 last time they met — Thunder get their shot at payback
- Thunder have won the last 3 meetings
- Trail Blazers: win chance 45% when betting opened, 57% now, flipping the favorite
From the FlowWire desk, strongest first, built from ESPN and market data.
The matchup
2nd in Northwest · 3-3 on the road · L1
No. 20 offense · No. 4 defense of 30 · +5.5 a game
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 29.5 points a game, No. 4
Ajay Mitchell: 18.5 points a game, No. 46
3rd in Northwest · 2-2 at home · W1
No. 3 offense · No. 13 defense of 30 · +7 a game
Deni Avdija: 22.5 points a game, No. 20
Damian Lillard: 20 points a game, No. 39
Where each venue has it
| Venue | Trail Blazers | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks (margin removed) | 57% | 43% |
| Kalshi | 56% | 44% |
| Polymarket | 56% | 44% |
| FlowWire Line | 57% | 43% |
Big money against the crowd on this game is in Pro.
The wire on this game
- 6:57 PM ETThe line moved 6+ points with no star news behind it(Trail Blazers +7 pts)
- 4:26 PM ETFlowWire signal: MARKETS DISAGREED on the Trail Blazers side
- 5:14 AM ETThe line moved 6+ points with no star news behind it(Trail Blazers -6 pts)
- 12:57 AM ETThe line moved 6+ points with no star news behind it(Trail Blazers +3 pts)
Signals are graded in public: track record.
Who's missing
- Ajay Mitchell (Thunder), 2nd-leading scorer, 18.5 points a game: Out, Ankle
- Ja Morant (Trail Blazers), 3rd-leading scorer, 15.8 points a game: Out, Hamstring
From ESPN's injury report.
Market information, not betting advice. The FlowWire Line blends the sportsbooks (margin removed) and the prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket into one win chance.